Daily UFC Fantasy Helper: UFC 272
Combat sports are one of the oldest active sports in America to bet on. This was evident throughout the 1900s when boxing took the sports world by storm. From Muhammed Ali to Mike Tyson, many stars were born and Americans nationwide bet on who would win boxing matches. Today, with much smaller boxing than it was throughout the 1900s, mixed martial arts has become America’s favorite combat sport.
By far the largest and most successful MMA organization in North America is the Ultimate Fighting Championship, commonly referred to as the UFC. The UFC boasts the best mixed martial artists in the world and is featured monthly on cable and pay-per-view events. As one of the most unique DFS sweatshirts available, UFC Daily Fantasy is now live on FanDuel.
numberFire is still the best place to prepare for any UFC card. If you prefer betting on fights, our betting guide is a great place to find value on Saturday’s card. In addition to this introduction, I also dove deeper into the slate for this week’s UFC edition of The Heat Check Daily Fantasy Podcast.
Without further ado, let’s break it down UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal from the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada, on Saturday.
Umar Nurmagomedov ($22): The undefeated bantamweight is the cousin of former UFC champion Khabib Nurmagomedov and he brought that exact style and dominance to his UFC debut. He leads this map at 5.77 FanDuel points per minute after five eliminations in a beating by Sergey Morozov. Morozov is a strong fighter with a UFC win himself, and “strong” might be a stretch for this week’s opponent Brian Kelleher. Kelleher only has a 60% takedown defense and has been knocked out six times by Ricky Simon in 2021. Umar is a -820 favorites to win on FanDuel Sportsbook For a reason.
Kevin Holland ($21): “Big Mouth” could be a big deal at welterweight. Despite going 8-3 in his last 11 fights at middleweight, he is losing weight to – hopefully – avoid the (50%) takedown defense issues that have occurred at the top echelon of the division. of the 185 lbs in the UFC. He has a perfect first opponent (for him) at 170 pounds. Alex “Cowboy” Oliveira is a low volume fighter who hasn’t picked up multiple takedowns in eight of his last nine fights. This fight is much more about the massive power of the Netherlands and a +1.33 hitting success rate breaking through Oliveira’s low 47% hitting defense. Holland is rightly +125 for knocking out Cowboy.
Other Highly Paid Fighters
Sergei Spivac ($19): Spivac submitted knockout artist Tai Tuivasa before Tuivasa broke into the top five at heavyweight. He navigated that power responsibly behind his striking 55% defense, and he should be able to do the same with Greg Hardy. Hardy has just one knockdown in seven official UFC appearances – a far cry from “Bam Bam”. Hardy fought a durable grappler in Marcin Tybura, and despite early initial success his asthma issues progressed, he grew tired, and Tybura dragged him to the ground and submitted. With 12 career kills under his belt, Spivac can do the same.
Kennedy Nzechukwu ($16): Nzechukwu’s -0.18 hitting success rate and 49% defense won’t leave him with an efficiency advantage in most fights. He usually comes from behind to bludgeon people with tremendous power. However, this weekend he has both against Nick Negumereanu. Negumereanu has a -2.75 worst card strike success rate and a ridiculously low 29% strike defense. He also can’t wrestle (16% takedown efficiency), so this mid-range payday has first-round advantage, a five-inch reach advantage, and historic comfort in the primary area of this fight. It will work.
Others to consider: Marina Rodriguez ($21), Dustin Jacoby ($20), Jalin Turner ($17), Devonte Smith ($17)
Renato Moicano ($13): Moicano is among 16 lightweights my role model would prefer Rafael Dos Anjos, who is sixth in the official UFC 155-pound rankings. It might be unfairly punishing him for being ragdolled at welterweight by Colby Covington, Leon Edwards and Michael Chiesa, but his last ranked lightweight win that didn’t come on short notice was in 2015. This one won’t fill that criterion with Moicano stepping within four days, but Moicano is 3-1 at lightweight and advantages in both striking (+1.54 hitting success rate) and wrestling (2.14 strikeouts per 15 minutes) on paper – plus a massive size advantage. With five rounds of work, that’s personally worth a roll of the underdog pay dice.
Yan Xiaonan ($9): Yan and Michal Oleksiejczuk ($10) are viable value plays even though I believe both lose. On a map filled with terrible wrestling environments for daily fantasy – including the main event – Yan and Oleksiejczuk are in gripping matches that should at least have some away from them. with Yan and Marina Rodriguez ($21) in a match that has an implied 70.1% probability of going the full distance, Xiaonan would have to stay to rack up strikes even in a losing effort. This one could have ‘fight of the night’ potential with both ladies averaging over 5.00 major strikes per minute.
Others to consider: Edson Barboza ($13), Jorge Masvidal ($12), Maryna Moroz ($11), Michal Oleksiejczuk ($10), Tim Elliott ($10)